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Digital Growth and the Past and Future of E-commerce

If you are skim reading
Most e-commerce budgets get spent on channels and tactics before anyone has answered the boring commercial questions underneath them.
E-commerce and growth are practically synonymous. In the last decade and a half, the growth of e-commerce companies has soared. Growth projections for e-commerce is more continued growth. In spite of this huge growth, there are still many opportunities for the future of e-commerce. The popularity and growth of e-commerce makes complete sense. It’s so much easier to do your shopping in the comfort of your own home. A couple clicks and a credit card number and in a couple of days you will have the products you ordered waiting for you on your doorstep. There are even new services that will put the items in your home for you or the trunk of your car if you are at work.

Digital Growth and the Past and Future of E-commerce

The Beginning of E-commerce

For most of us, when we think of the beginning of e-commerce, we think of our first orders on Amazon or eBay. Although, the very first e-commerce site was actually CompuServe. This was a commercial online service originally founded in 1969, and it became popular in the 1980s to mid-1990s. It was known for online chat, forums, and software libraries. All of the services were digital, but it was an e-commerce platform.

The First Online Bookstore

In 1992, a fellow by the name of Charles M. Stack introduced a bookstore called Book Stacks Unlimited. In 1994, this site went from operating on a dial-up bulletin board to operating on the Internet under the moniker of books.com. In 1995, another e-commerce platform for books was introduced. A guy by the name of Jeff Bezos started Amazon as a bookstore. During the same year, a fellow named Pierre Omidyar started AuctionWeb which is now known as eBay. The world’s second online bookstore has come a long way. Amazon is always offering innovative products and services. Including a large selection of products by third-party sellers.

Time for an E-commerce Payment System

In 1998, a money transfer tool called Confinity began. It later became PayPal. Alibaba was launched in 1999, and in 2000, Google’s online advertising tool called AdWords began. Other launches in the mid-2000s include Amazon prime, Etsy, and Square. From humble beginnings, the huge potential of e-commerce began. Even big-box retailers have no option but to embrace the online marketplace. This current online race is only good for consumers. We get to stay home and shop at our own convenience while the retailers compete to create better shopping experiences and offer faster and cheaper shipping.

It’s Not Too Late

Individuals and small businesses wanting to cash in on this exponential online growth are creating websites, online stores, and e-commerce websites to reach more customers and create more revenue. If you want to join in, don’t be held back by the technical requirements of creating, owning, and operating an online store. There are tons of platforms and online resources that can help you begin. Magento is a flexible and scalable e-commerce platform. A trustworthy Magento Resource can have you up and running very quickly. Whether you are a small or large business, it is possible to create your own website and make your mark in the world of online retail. In spite of recent growth, the outlook is good and there is still a lot of opportunity out there.

The questions to ask before you put a single pound behind e-commerce growth

Most e-commerce budgets get spent on channels and tactics before anyone has answered the boring commercial questions underneath them. That's how you end up with a business running Meta ads, email flows and a loyalty scheme all at once, none of them tied to a number that matters. Before you commit budget to digital growth, sit down and answer these first.

  • What is your contribution margin per order, after product cost, shipping, packaging and payment fees? If you don't know this number to the pound, you cannot set a sensible target cost per acquisition. Every channel decision after this is a guess.
  • What is your current repeat purchase rate, and over what time window? A business with a strong repeat rate can afford to spend more acquiring a customer than a business where most people buy once and vanish. This changes which channels are worth the money.
  • How much of your current revenue is discount-dependent? If growth has been propped up by discount codes and sales periods, new spend on acquisition will just buy you more discount-dependent customers. Fix the margin problem before you scale the spend.
  • What breaks first if orders double next month? Fulfilment, customer service, stock, or the website itself. Growth spend that outpaces operational capacity turns into refunds, bad reviews and support backlogs, which cost more than the ads did.
  • Which channel is already working, even a little, and why? Before adding a new one, understand what's driving the results you already have. Doubling down on a channel with a proven, if modest, return usually beats starting a new one from zero.
  • What does your website need to convert better, independent of traffic? More traffic to a site with a weak product page, slow checkout or unclear shipping costs just means more people leaving at the same broken step. Fix conversion before you buy more visitors to fail at it.
  • Who is accountable for the number, and how often will it be checked? Budget without a named owner and a review date tends to keep running long after it's stopped working, because nobody's job depends on stopping it.

None of these questions are exciting. They won't get anyone talking about AI-powered personalisation or the latest platform feature. But they're the difference between spend that compounds and spend that just keeps the lights on while looking busy. If you can't answer most of them clearly, that's the actual first project, not the ad campaign.

Frequently asked questions

How much should an e-commerce business spend on growth as a percentage of revenue?

There's no fixed rule that fits every business, because it depends heavily on margin and stage. A business with high margin and strong repeat purchase can often justify spending more aggressively on acquisition than a low-margin, one-time-purchase business. Rather than chasing an industry benchmark, work backwards from your contribution margin and target payback period on customer acquisition cost.

Should we fix conversion rate or increase traffic first?

Generally fix conversion first, unless traffic volume is so low that you don't have enough data to know what's broken. Sending more people to a site that converts poorly just multiplies the leak. Get the basics of product pages, checkout and trust signals working , then put spend behind driving more people to see it.

Work with me

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What's a reasonable timeframe to judge whether a new growth channel is working?

It depends on the channel and your sales cycle, but most paid channels need at least six to eight weeks of consistent spend and iteration before the data is reliable enough to judge. Email and content-based growth take longer, often three to six months, because they rely on built-up trust and list quality rather than immediate clicks.

Published and maintained by the Lilach Bullock team, covering marketing, AI and business growth.
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